Live British & Irish racecards — probabilities are estimates, not tips
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Rafe's Da Man

2yo · Richard Hannon · Sean Levey · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Model probability
15.3%
Fair odds
28/5
Model edge
Raw score
68.4
Official rating
91
Weight
130lb
Draw
6
Days since last run
35

Today's race

The conditions this rating was produced for.

Race
Betfair Celebrates Bow Echo Ascendant Stakes (Listed Race)
Conditions
Class 1 · 1m · Heavy · Turf
Field
6 runners · Non-handicap

Recent form

Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.

4431

Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.

Why this rating?

Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.

Data quality: HighModel v1.4
Recent form & race quality
Form line 4431 over the last 4 start(s); 35 day(s) since the last run
58%7744.9
Official rating & class suitability
Official rating 91 against a class 1 contest
12%718.5
Distance suitability
Past-distance record not available on the current data feed
6%503.0
Going suitability
Going record not available on the current data feed (today: heavy)
6%503.0
Speed / performance ratings
Official rating 91 against a field average of 88 (speed figures not in the current feed)
4%572.3
Course performance
Course record at Haydock not available on the current data feed
4%502.0
Trainer recent form
Richard Hannon — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
3%501.5
Draw / course-position advantage
Stall 6 of 6
3%421.2
Jockey recent form
Sean Levey — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
2%501.0
Weight / handicap position
Carrying 130 lb (level weights)
2%501.0