Model probability
7.6%
Fair odds
121/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
50.6
Official rating
80
Weight
121lb
Draw
10
Days since last run
1
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Betfair Be Friendly Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 2 · 5f · Heavy · Turf
Field
10 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
-73345
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line -73345 over the last 5 start(s); 1 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 51 | 29.6 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 80 against a class 2 contest | 12% | 54 | 6.5 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: heavy) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Haydock not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 121 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form David & Nicola Barron — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 10 of 10 | 3% | 42 | 1.2 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 80 against a field average of 89 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 31 | 1.2 |
| Jockey recent form Ray Dawson — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |