Model probability
5.7%
Fair odds
83/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
37.8
Official rating
76
Weight
126lb
Draw
8
Days since last run
15
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
HKJC World Pool Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 3 · 7f · Heavy · Turf
Field
12 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
389637
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 389637 over the last 6 start(s); 15 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 29 | 16.7 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 76 against a class 3 contest | 12% | 48 | 5.7 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: heavy) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 8 of 12 | 3% | 72 | 2.1 |
| Course performance Course record at Haydock not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Alan Brown — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 126 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 73 | 1.4 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 76 against a field average of 84 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 32 | 1.3 |
| Jockey recent form Ray Dawson — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |