Model probability
7.0%
Fair odds
66/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
41.6
Official rating
86
Weight
136lb
Draw
5
Days since last run
70
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
HKJC World Pool Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 3 · 7f · Heavy · Turf
Field
12 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
-46828
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line -46828 over the last 5 start(s); 70 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 31 | 17.9 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 86 against a class 3 contest | 12% | 63 | 7.6 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: heavy) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 5 of 12 | 3% | 94 | 2.8 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 86 against a field average of 84 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 54 | 2.2 |
| Course performance Course record at Haydock not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Kevin Ryan — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form P J McDonald — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 136 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 35 | 0.7 |