Model probability
3.6%
Fair odds
27/1
Model edge
—
Raw score
42.4
Official rating
72
Weight
127lb
Draw
9
Days since last run
24
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Betfair.Betfair Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 4 · 1m · Heavy · Turf
Field
12 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
496-03
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 496-03 over the last 5 start(s); 24 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 38 | 22.2 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 72 against a class 4 contest | 12% | 42 | 5.0 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: heavy) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Haydock not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 9 of 12 | 3% | 64 | 1.9 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 127 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form Hugo Palmer — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 72 against a field average of 81 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 30 | 1.2 |
| Jockey recent form Joe Leavy — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |