← Back to the 16:30 Kempton (AW)
Primo Lara
5yo · Jane Chapple-Hyam · Billy Loughnane · Sat, 5 Sept 2026
Model probability
19.2%
Fair odds
21/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
65.2
Official rating
86
Weight
126lb
Draw
3
Days since last run
15
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)
Conditions
Class 3 · 1m 4f · Standard · All-Weather
Field
11 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
625114
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 625114 over the last 6 start(s); 15 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 71 | 41.3 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 86 against a class 3 contest | 12% | 63 | 7.6 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: standard) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 3 of 11 | 3% | 93 | 2.8 |
| Course performance Course record at Kempton (AW) not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 86 against a field average of 89 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 42 | 1.7 |
| Trainer recent form Jane Chapple-Hyam — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 126 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 65 | 1.3 |
| Jockey recent form Billy Loughnane — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |