Model probability
6.5%
Fair odds
29/2
Model edge
—
Raw score
45.6
Official rating
83
Weight
123lb
Draw
2
Days since last run
29
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)
Conditions
Class 3 · 1m 4f · Standard · All-Weather
Field
11 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
5418-6
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 5418-6 over the last 5 start(s); 29 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 39 | 22.5 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 83 against a class 3 contest | 12% | 58 | 7.0 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: standard) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 2 of 11 | 3% | 85 | 2.5 |
| Course performance Course record at Kempton (AW) not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 123 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form Roger Varian — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 83 against a field average of 89 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 36 | 1.4 |
| Jockey recent form Rowan Scott — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |