Live British & Irish racecards — probabilities are estimates, not tips
← Back to the 16:30 Kempton (AW)

Tiernan

4yo · Iain Jardine · Rossa Ryan · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Model probability
11.0%
Fair odds
81/10
Model edge
Raw score
55.2
Official rating
85
Weight
125lb
Draw
11
Days since last run
15

Today's race

The conditions this rating was produced for.

Race
William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)
Conditions
Class 3 · 1m 4f · Standard · All-Weather
Field
11 runners · Handicap

Recent form

Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.

-60215

Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.

Why this rating?

Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.

Data quality: HighModel v1.4
Recent form & race quality
Form line -60215 over the last 5 start(s); 15 day(s) since the last run
58%5733.0
Official rating & class suitability
Official rating 85 against a class 3 contest
12%627.4
Distance suitability
Past-distance record not available on the current data feed
6%503.0
Going suitability
Going record not available on the current data feed (today: standard)
6%503.0
Course performance
Course record at Kempton (AW) not available on the current data feed
4%502.0
Speed / performance ratings
Official rating 85 against a field average of 89 (speed figures not in the current feed)
4%401.6
Trainer recent form
Iain Jardine — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
3%501.5
Weight / handicap position
Carrying 125 lb (below top weight)
2%701.4
Draw / course-position advantage
Stall 11 of 11
3%421.2
Jockey recent form
Rossa Ryan — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
2%501.0