Model probability
28.6%
Fair odds
5/2
Model edge
—
Raw score
75.7
Official rating
74
Weight
126lb
Draw
6
Days since last run
20
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
William Hill Keep Your Raceday Positive Handicap Stakes (London Stayers' Series Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)
Conditions
Class 4 · 2m · Standard · All-Weather
Field
6 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
-21112
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line -21112 over the last 5 start(s); 20 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 95 | 55.1 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 74 against a class 4 contest | 12% | 45 | 5.4 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: standard) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 74 against a field average of 74 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 51 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Kempton (AW) not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Sir Mark Prescott Bt — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 126 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 74 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 6 of 6 | 3% | 42 | 1.2 |
| Jockey recent form Dylan Hogan — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |