Model probability
10.6%
Fair odds
42/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
45.6
Official rating
57
Weight
120lb
Draw
4
Days since last run
12
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Quinnbet.com Fillies' Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 4.5f · Standard · All-Weather
Field
7 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
565373
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 565373 over the last 6 start(s); 12 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 47 | 27.5 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: standard) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 4 of 7 | 3% | 80 | 2.4 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 57 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 18 | 2.2 |
| Course performance Course record at Newcastle (AW) not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 120 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form Alan Brown — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 57 against a field average of 64 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 35 | 1.4 |
| Jockey recent form Alex Jary(3) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |