Model probability
8.3%
Fair odds
11/1
Model edge
—
Raw score
41.2
Official rating
68
Weight
131lb
Draw
5
Days since last run
290
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Quinnbet.com Fillies' Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 4.5f · Standard · All-Weather
Field
7 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
9802-
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 9802- over the last 4 start(s); 290 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 37 | 21.4 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 68 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 35 | 4.2 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: standard) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 68 against a field average of 64 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 59 | 2.4 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 5 of 7 | 3% | 67 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Newcastle (AW) not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Mike Sowersby — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Cam Hardie — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 131 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 36 | 0.7 |