Model probability
10.4%
Fair odds
87/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
64.7
Official rating
78
Weight
125lb
Draw
8
Days since last run
15
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Quinnbet Extra Place Novice Stakes (gbb Race)
Conditions
Class 4 · 7f · Standard · All-Weather
Field
9 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
433233
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 433233 over the last 6 start(s); 15 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 74 | 43.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 78 against a class 4 contest | 12% | 51 | 6.1 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: standard) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 78 against a field average of 78 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Newcastle (AW) not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 125 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 8 of 9 | 3% | 52 | 1.5 |
| Trainer recent form John Butler — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Sam James — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |