Model probability
21.2%
Fair odds
37/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
55.3
Official rating
64
Weight
129lb
Draw
7
Days since last run
36
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes (Div I)
Conditions
Class 5 · 7f · Standard · All-Weather
Field
9 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
149361
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 149361 over the last 6 start(s); 36 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 63 | 36.3 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 64 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 29 | 3.5 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: standard) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Newcastle (AW) not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 7 of 9 | 3% | 62 | 1.8 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 64 against a field average of 67 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 44 | 1.8 |
| Trainer recent form Bryan Smart — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 129 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 71 | 1.4 |
| Jockey recent form David Nolan — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |