← Back to the 20:00 Newcastle (AW)
Red Mirage
8yo · John & Sean Quinn · Harry Vigors(5) · Sat, 5 Sept 2026
Model probability
14.6%
Fair odds
59/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
49.8
Official rating
68
Weight
133lb
Draw
1
Days since last run
22
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Free Tips On Attheraces.com Handicap Stakes (Div II)
Conditions
Class 5 · 7f · Standard · All-Weather
Field
9 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
366842
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 366842 over the last 6 start(s); 22 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 52 | 29.9 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 68 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 35 | 4.2 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: standard) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 1 of 9 | 3% | 79 | 2.4 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 68 against a field average of 66 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 54 | 2.2 |
| Course performance Course record at Newcastle (AW) not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form John & Sean Quinn — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Harry Vigors(5) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 133 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 33 | 0.7 |