← Back to the 20:30 Newcastle (AW)
Relevant Range
7yo · Ivan Furtado · Elle-May Croot(5) · Sat, 5 Sept 2026
Model probability
8.8%
Fair odds
52/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
44.9
Official rating
63
Weight
133lb
Draw
9
Days since last run
5
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Attheraces.com Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 6 · 1m · Standard · All-Weather
Field
9 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
626140
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 626140 over the last 6 start(s); 5 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 47 | 27.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 63 against a class 6 contest | 12% | 28 | 3.3 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: standard) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 63 against a field average of 61 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 54 | 2.2 |
| Course performance Course record at Newcastle (AW) not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Ivan Furtado — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 9 of 9 | 3% | 42 | 1.2 |
| Jockey recent form Elle-May Croot(5) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 133 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 33 | 0.7 |