Model probability
4.4%
Fair odds
217/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
32.6
Official rating
56
Weight
126lb
Draw
5
Days since last run
14
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Attheraces.com Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 6 · 1m · Standard · All-Weather
Field
9 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
009628
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 009628 over the last 6 start(s); 14 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 25 | 14.5 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: standard) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 5 of 9 | 3% | 82 | 2.4 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 56 against a class 6 contest | 12% | 17 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Newcastle (AW) not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 126 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 56 against a field average of 61 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 39 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form Nigel Tinkler — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Alex Jary(3) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |