Model probability
30.7%
Fair odds
23/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
80.4
Official rating
119
Weight
166lb
Draw
1
Days since last run
7
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
What The Frunk: The Geely Ex2 Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)
Conditions
Class 4 · 2m 0.5f · Good · Turf
Field
7 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
3-11
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 3-11 over the last 3 start(s); 7 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 94 | 54.3 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 119 against a class 4 contest | 12% | 100 | 12.0 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Stratford not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 119 against a field average of 122 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 43 | 1.7 |
| Trainer recent form Dan Skelton — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Harry Skelton — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 166 lb (top weight) | 2% | 20 | 0.4 |