Live British & Irish racecards — probabilities are estimates, not tips
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Bailey's Luck

4yo · Clare Hobson · Ben Poste · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Model probability
2.2%
Fair odds
223/5
Model edge
Raw score
32.9
Official rating
122
Weight
152lb
Draw
5
Days since last run
43

Today's race

The conditions this rating was produced for.

Race
What The Frunk: The Geely Ex2 Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)
Conditions
Class 4 · 2m 0.5f · Good · Turf
Field
7 runners · Non-handicap

Recent form

Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.

P0

Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.

Why this rating?

Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.

Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
Official rating & class suitability
Official rating 122 against a class 4 contest
12%10012.0
Recent form & race quality
Form line P0 over the last 2 start(s); 43 day(s) since the last run
58%95.3
Distance suitability
Past-distance record not available on the current data feed
6%503.0
Going suitability
Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good)
6%503.0
Course performance
Course record at Stratford not available on the current data feed
4%502.0
Speed / performance ratings
Official rating 122 against a field average of 122 (speed figures not in the current feed)
4%502.0
Weight / handicap position
Carrying 152 lb (below top weight)
2%801.6
Trainer recent form
Clare Hobson — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
3%501.5
Draw / course-position advantage
Draw not a material factor over jumps
3%501.5
Jockey recent form
Ben Poste — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
2%501.0