Model probability
5.1%
Fair odds
94/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
47.9
Official rating
122
Weight
152lb
Draw
6
Days since last run
167
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
What The Frunk: The Geely Ex2 Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)
Conditions
Class 4 · 2m 0.5f · Good · Turf
Field
7 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
2047-
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 2047- over the last 4 start(s); 167 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 35 | 20.3 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 122 against a class 4 contest | 12% | 100 | 12.0 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Stratford not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 122 against a field average of 122 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 152 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form Chris Honour — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Bryan Carver — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |