Model probability
1.7%
Fair odds
289/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
18.8
Official rating
68
Weight
142lb
Draw
10
Days since last run
105
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Allan Atkinson Handicap Hurdle Race
Conditions
Class 5 · 2m 0.5f · Good · Turf
Field
10 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
99P8-8
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 68 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 35 | 4.2 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Stratford not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 142 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form Michael Chapman — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form James Best — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Recent form & race quality Form line 99P8-8 over the last 5 start(s); 105 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 1 | 0.5 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 68 against a field average of 85 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 12 | 0.5 |