Model probability
5.5%
Fair odds
173/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
39.9
Official rating
84
Weight
153lb
Draw
7
Days since last run
13
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Allan Atkinson Handicap Hurdle Race
Conditions
Class 5 · 2m 0.5f · Good · Turf
Field
10 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
33548U
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 33548U over the last 6 start(s); 13 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 31 | 17.7 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 84 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 60 | 7.2 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Stratford not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 84 against a field average of 85 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 47 | 1.9 |
| Trainer recent form Sarah-Jayne Davies — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 153 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 55 | 1.1 |
| Jockey recent form Mr Sam Burton(7) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |