Model probability
4.0%
Fair odds
239/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
44.0
Official rating
80
Weight
150lb
Draw
6
Days since last run
62
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Envesca Safety Champions Handicap Steeple Chase
Conditions
Class 5 · 2m 6.5f · Good · Turf
Field
11 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
P1P/55
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line P1P/55 over the last 5 start(s); 62 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 39 | 22.5 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 80 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 54 | 6.5 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Stratford not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 80 against a field average of 83 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 44 | 1.8 |
| Trainer recent form Belinda Clarke — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 150 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 62 | 1.2 |
| Jockey recent form Lee Edwards — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |