← Back to the 18:45 Stratford
A Dublin Job
9yo · Sarah-Jayne Davies · Cameron Johnstone-Baker(7) · Sat, 5 Sept 2026
Model probability
4.2%
Fair odds
229/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
44.7
Official rating
92
Weight
162lb
Draw
3
Days since last run
21
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Envesca Safety Champions Handicap Steeple Chase
Conditions
Class 5 · 2m 6.5f · Good · Turf
Field
11 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
-65565
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line -65565 over the last 5 start(s); 21 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 35 | 20.5 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 92 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 72 | 8.7 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 92 against a field average of 83 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 71 | 2.8 |
| Course performance Course record at Stratford not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Sarah-Jayne Davies — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Cameron Johnstone-Baker(7) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 162 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 34 | 0.7 |