Model probability
5.5%
Fair odds
171/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
49.7
Official rating
69
Weight
142lb
Draw
10
Days since last run
11
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Envesca Safety Champions Handicap Steeple Chase
Conditions
Class 5 · 2m 6.5f · Good · Turf
Field
11 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
3-7033
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 3-7033 over the last 5 start(s); 11 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 53 | 30.9 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 69 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 37 | 4.4 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Stratford not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 142 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form Nigel Hawke — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form David Noonan — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 69 against a field average of 83 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 20 | 0.8 |