Model probability
2.9%
Fair odds
34/1
Model edge
—
Raw score
26.0
Official rating
75
Weight
144lb
Draw
9
Days since last run
88
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Andy Townsend Memorial Mares' Handicap Hurdle Race
Conditions
Class 5 · 2m 6f · Good · Turf
Field
10 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
P4-88P
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line P4-88P over the last 5 start(s); 88 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 10 | 6.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 75 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 46 | 5.5 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Stratford not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 144 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 75 | 1.5 |
| Trainer recent form Tracey Leeson — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Oscar Palmer(7) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 75 against a field average of 87 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 25 | 1.0 |