Live British & Irish racecards — probabilities are estimates, not tips
← Back to the 13:35 Thirsk

Coco Nova

2yo · Hugo Palmer · Harry Davies · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Model probability
13.7%
Fair odds
63/10
Model edge
Raw score
58.6
Official rating
70
Weight
131lb
Draw
6
Days since last run
24

Today's race

The conditions this rating was produced for.

Race
Personal Touches Day Of Elegance Nursery Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m · Good to Soft · Turf
Field
9 runners · Handicap

Recent form

Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.

43

Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.

Why this rating?

Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.

Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
Recent form & race quality
Form line 43 over the last 2 start(s); 24 day(s) since the last run
58%6638.6
Official rating & class suitability
Official rating 70 against a class 5 contest
12%384.6
Distance suitability
Past-distance record not available on the current data feed
6%503.0
Going suitability
Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good to soft)
6%503.0
Draw / course-position advantage
Stall 6 of 9
3%722.1
Speed / performance ratings
Official rating 70 against a field average of 69 (speed figures not in the current feed)
4%532.1
Course performance
Course record at Thirsk not available on the current data feed
4%502.0
Trainer recent form
Hugo Palmer — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
3%501.5
Jockey recent form
Harry Davies — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
2%501.0
Weight / handicap position
Carrying 131 lb (below top weight)
2%330.7