Live British & Irish racecards — probabilities are estimates, not tips
← Back to the 13:35 Thirsk

Sou'wester

2yo · Tim Easterby · David Allan · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Model probability
5.8%
Fair odds
163/10
Model edge
Raw score
43.1
Official rating
65
Weight
126lb
Draw
5
Days since last run
86

Today's race

The conditions this rating was produced for.

Race
Personal Touches Day Of Elegance Nursery Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m · Good to Soft · Turf
Field
9 runners · Handicap

Recent form

Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.

555

Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.

Why this rating?

Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.

Data quality: HighModel v1.4
Recent form & race quality
Form line 555 over the last 3 start(s); 86 day(s) since the last run
58%4123.8
Official rating & class suitability
Official rating 65 against a class 5 contest
12%313.7
Distance suitability
Past-distance record not available on the current data feed
6%503.0
Going suitability
Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good to soft)
6%503.0
Draw / course-position advantage
Stall 5 of 9
3%822.4
Course performance
Course record at Thirsk not available on the current data feed
4%502.0
Speed / performance ratings
Official rating 65 against a field average of 69 (speed figures not in the current feed)
4%421.7
Trainer recent form
Tim Easterby — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
3%501.5
Jockey recent form
David Allan — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
2%501.0
Weight / handicap position
Carrying 126 lb (below top weight)
2%481.0