Live British & Irish racecards — probabilities are estimates, not tips
← Back to the 13:35 Thirsk

Empire Rising

2yo · Charlie Clover · Darragh Keenan · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Model probability
14.6%
Fair odds
59/10
Model edge
Raw score
59.7
Official rating
74
Weight
135lb
Draw
4
Days since last run
24

Today's race

The conditions this rating was produced for.

Race
Personal Touches Day Of Elegance Nursery Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m · Good to Soft · Turf
Field
9 runners · Handicap

Recent form

Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.

04441

Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.

Why this rating?

Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.

Data quality: HighModel v1.4
Recent form & race quality
Form line 04441 over the last 5 start(s); 24 day(s) since the last run
58%6638.3
Official rating & class suitability
Official rating 74 against a class 5 contest
12%455.4
Distance suitability
Past-distance record not available on the current data feed
6%503.0
Going suitability
Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good to soft)
6%503.0
Draw / course-position advantage
Stall 4 of 9
3%922.7
Speed / performance ratings
Official rating 74 against a field average of 69 (speed figures not in the current feed)
4%622.5
Course performance
Course record at Thirsk not available on the current data feed
4%502.0
Trainer recent form
Charlie Clover — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
3%501.5
Jockey recent form
Darragh Keenan — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
2%501.0
Weight / handicap position
Carrying 135 lb (top weight)
2%200.4