Model probability
12.3%
Fair odds
71/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
60.2
Official rating
64
Weight
122lb
Draw
3
Days since last run
14
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
British Stallion Studs Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)
Conditions
Class 2 · 6f · Good to Soft · Turf
Field
13 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
523
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 523 over the last 3 start(s); 14 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 70 | 40.8 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 64 against a class 2 contest | 12% | 29 | 3.5 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good to soft) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 3 of 13 | 3% | 89 | 2.7 |
| Course performance Course record at Thirsk not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Michael Dods — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 64 against a field average of 71 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 35 | 1.4 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 122 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 68 | 1.4 |
| Jockey recent form Connor Beasley — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |