Model probability
10.2%
Fair odds
44/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
43.7
Official rating
82
Weight
133lb
Draw
3
Days since last run
16
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
British Stallion Studs Ebf Fillies' Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 3 · 7f · Good to Soft · Turf
Field
6 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
642075
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 642075 over the last 6 start(s); 16 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 36 | 21.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 82 against a class 3 contest | 12% | 57 | 6.8 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good to soft) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 3 of 6 | 3% | 87 | 2.6 |
| Course performance Course record at Thirsk not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 82 against a field average of 83 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 47 | 1.9 |
| Trainer recent form Brian Ellison — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Joanna Mason — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 133 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 46 | 0.9 |