Model probability
22.2%
Fair odds
7/2
Model edge
—
Raw score
57.7
Official rating
77
Weight
124lb
Draw
6
Days since last run
39
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
British Stallion Studs Ebf Fillies' Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 3 · 7f · Good to Soft · Turf
Field
6 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
42-145
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 42-145 over the last 5 start(s); 39 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 64 | 37.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 77 against a class 3 contest | 12% | 49 | 5.9 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good to soft) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Thirsk not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 124 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form William Haggas — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 77 against a field average of 83 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 36 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 6 of 6 | 3% | 42 | 1.2 |
| Jockey recent form Harry Davies — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |