Live British & Irish racecards — probabilities are estimates, not tips
← Back to the 15:15 Thirsk

Passing Thought

3yo · Ed Walker · Ashley Lewis(3) · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Model probability
9.7%
Fair odds
93/10
Model edge
Raw score
42.8
Official rating
84
Weight
131lb
Draw
1
Days since last run
29

Today's race

The conditions this rating was produced for.

Race
British Stallion Studs Ebf Fillies' Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 3 · 7f · Good to Soft · Turf
Field
6 runners · Handicap

Recent form

Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.

17-109

Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.

Why this rating?

Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.

Data quality: HighModel v1.4
Recent form & race quality
Form line 17-109 over the last 5 start(s); 29 day(s) since the last run
58%3319.4
Official rating & class suitability
Official rating 84 against a class 3 contest
12%607.2
Distance suitability
Past-distance record not available on the current data feed
6%503.0
Going suitability
Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good to soft)
6%503.0
Draw / course-position advantage
Stall 1 of 6
3%842.5
Speed / performance ratings
Official rating 84 against a field average of 83 (speed figures not in the current feed)
4%522.1
Course performance
Course record at Thirsk not available on the current data feed
4%502.0
Trainer recent form
Ed Walker — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
3%501.5
Weight / handicap position
Carrying 131 lb (below top weight)
2%541.1
Jockey recent form
Ashley Lewis(3) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
2%501.0