Model probability
8.5%
Fair odds
54/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
50.8
Official rating
91
Weight
136lb
Draw
2
Days since last run
33
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Rudding Park Harrogate Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 3 · 6f · Good to Soft · Turf
Field
10 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
220703
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 220703 over the last 6 start(s); 33 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 45 | 26.4 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 91 against a class 3 contest | 12% | 71 | 8.5 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good to soft) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 2 of 10 | 3% | 87 | 2.6 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 91 against a field average of 90 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 52 | 2.1 |
| Course performance Course record at Thirsk not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Michael Dods — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Connor Beasley — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 136 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 40 | 0.8 |