Model probability
4.7%
Fair odds
203/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
40.3
Official rating
79
Weight
124lb
Draw
3
Days since last run
35
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Rudding Park Harrogate Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 3 · 6f · Good to Soft · Turf
Field
10 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
220686
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 220686 over the last 6 start(s); 35 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 31 | 18.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 79 against a class 3 contest | 12% | 52 | 6.3 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good to soft) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 3 of 10 | 3% | 96 | 2.9 |
| Course performance Course record at Thirsk not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 124 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form Tim Easterby — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 79 against a field average of 90 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 26 | 1.0 |
| Jockey recent form David Allan — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |