Model probability
20.9%
Fair odds
19/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
67.1
Official rating
86
Weight
131lb
Draw
6
Days since last run
20
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Rudding Park Harrogate Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 3 · 6f · Good to Soft · Turf
Field
10 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
441161
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 441161 over the last 6 start(s); 20 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 76 | 43.9 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 86 against a class 3 contest | 12% | 63 | 7.6 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good to soft) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 6 of 10 | 3% | 78 | 2.3 |
| Course performance Course record at Thirsk not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 86 against a field average of 90 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 41 | 1.7 |
| Trainer recent form Ruth Carr — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 131 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 57 | 1.1 |
| Jockey recent form Joanna Mason — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |