Live British & Irish racecards — probabilities are estimates, not tips
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Grasmere Boy

3yo · Julie Camacho · Jason Hart · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Model probability
16.1%
Fair odds
26/5
Model edge
Raw score
62.4
Official rating
89
Weight
132lb
Draw
9
Days since last run
28

Today's race

The conditions this rating was produced for.

Race
Rudding Park Harrogate Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 3 · 6f · Good to Soft · Turf
Field
10 runners · Handicap

Recent form

Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.

221155

Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.

Why this rating?

Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.

Data quality: HighModel v1.4
Recent form & race quality
Form line 221155 over the last 6 start(s); 28 day(s) since the last run
58%6839.2
Official rating & class suitability
Official rating 89 against a class 3 contest
12%688.1
Distance suitability
Past-distance record not available on the current data feed
6%503.0
Going suitability
Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good to soft)
6%503.0
Course performance
Course record at Thirsk not available on the current data feed
4%502.0
Speed / performance ratings
Official rating 89 against a field average of 90 (speed figures not in the current feed)
4%481.9
Draw / course-position advantage
Stall 9 of 10
3%501.5
Trainer recent form
Julie Camacho — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
3%501.5
Weight / handicap position
Carrying 132 lb (below top weight)
2%531.1
Jockey recent form
Jason Hart — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
2%501.0