Model probability
9.5%
Fair odds
19/2
Model edge
—
Raw score
54.4
Official rating
83
Weight
131lb
Draw
6
Days since last run
5
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap (Birdcatcher Series)
Conditions
Class 5 · 6f · Good · Turf
Field
10 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
534255
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 534255 over the last 6 start(s); 5 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 54 | 31.4 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 83 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 58 | 7.0 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 6 of 10 | 3% | 78 | 2.3 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 83 against a field average of 80 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 56 | 2.2 |
| Course performance Course record at Navan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Michael Mulvany — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Wesley Joyce(3) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 131 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 44 | 0.9 |