Model probability
2.4%
Fair odds
399/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
30.0
Official rating
69
Weight
119lb
Draw
2
Days since last run
18
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap (Birdcatcher Series)
Conditions
Class 5 · 6f · Good · Turf
Field
10 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
076
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 076 over the last 3 start(s); 18 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 17 | 9.8 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 69 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 37 | 4.4 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 2 of 10 | 3% | 87 | 2.6 |
| Course performance Course record at Navan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 119 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form A P O'Brien — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 69 against a field average of 80 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 25 | 1.0 |
| Jockey recent form Wayne Lordan — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |