Model probability
12.3%
Fair odds
71/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
59.1
Official rating
73
Weight
121lb
Draw
3
Days since last run
9
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap (Birdcatcher Series)
Conditions
Class 5 · 6f · Good · Turf
Field
10 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
77412
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 77412 over the last 5 start(s); 9 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 65 | 37.7 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 73 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 43 | 5.2 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 3 of 10 | 3% | 96 | 2.9 |
| Course performance Course record at Navan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Jack W Davison — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 121 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 74 | 1.5 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 73 against a field average of 80 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 34 | 1.4 |
| Jockey recent form Declan McDonogh — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |