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Tradewinds
2yo · Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · Paddy Harnett(3) · Sat, 5 Sept 2026
Model probability
7.5%
Fair odds
62/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
50.1
Official rating
85
Weight
133lb
Draw
9
Days since last run
7
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap (Birdcatcher Series)
Conditions
Class 5 · 6f · Good · Turf
Field
10 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
323306
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 323306 over the last 6 start(s); 7 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 47 | 27.5 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 85 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 62 | 7.4 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 85 against a field average of 80 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 60 | 2.4 |
| Course performance Course record at Navan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 9 of 10 | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Trainer recent form Donnacha Aidan O'Brien — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Paddy Harnett(3) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 133 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 38 | 0.8 |