Model probability
3.2%
Fair odds
151/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
28.9
Official rating
43
Weight
126lb
Draw
12
Days since last run
13
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Navan Racing Festival Early Bird Tickets On Sale Now Handicap
Conditions
Class 5 · 5f · Good · Turf
Field
19 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
009030
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 009030 over the last 6 start(s); 13 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 23 | 13.4 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 12 of 19 | 3% | 75 | 2.2 |
| Course performance Course record at Navan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Chris Timmons — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 126 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 71 | 1.4 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 43 against a field average of 51 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 33 | 1.3 |
| Jockey recent form Gary Carroll — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 43 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 0 | 0.0 |