Model probability
6.8%
Fair odds
137/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
42.4
Official rating
59
Weight
142lb
Draw
10
Days since last run
281
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Navan Racing Festival Early Bird Tickets On Sale Now Handicap
Conditions
Class 5 · 5f · Good · Turf
Field
19 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
65205-
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 65205- over the last 5 start(s); 281 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 41 | 23.7 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 59 against a field average of 51 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 68 | 2.7 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 59 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 22 | 2.6 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 10 of 19 | 3% | 84 | 2.5 |
| Course performance Course record at Navan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Sean Davis — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Jimmy Dalton(7) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 142 lb (top weight) | 2% | 20 | 0.4 |