Model probability
3.5%
Fair odds
277/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
30.4
Official rating
57
Weight
140lb
Draw
2
Days since last run
7
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Navan Racing Festival Early Bird Tickets On Sale Now Handicap
Conditions
Class 5 · 5f · Good · Turf
Field
19 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
-20000
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line -20000 over the last 5 start(s); 7 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 21 | 12.3 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 57 against a field average of 51 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 64 | 2.6 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 2 of 19 | 3% | 78 | 2.3 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 57 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 18 | 2.2 |
| Course performance Course record at Navan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Gerard Keane — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Colin Keane — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 140 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 26 | 0.5 |