Model probability
4.1%
Fair odds
116/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
33.5
Official rating
58
Weight
141lb
Draw
7
Days since last run
90
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Navan Racing Festival Early Bird Tickets On Sale Now Handicap
Conditions
Class 5 · 5f · Good · Turf
Field
19 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
2-0409
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 2-0409 over the last 5 start(s); 90 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 25 | 14.5 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 7 of 19 | 3% | 98 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 58 against a field average of 51 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 66 | 2.6 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 58 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 20 | 2.4 |
| Course performance Course record at Navan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form W McCreery — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Sam Coen(5) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 141 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 23 | 0.5 |