Model probability
5.8%
Fair odds
81/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
39.7
Official rating
46
Weight
129lb
Draw
11
Days since last run
50
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Navan Racing Festival Early Bird Tickets On Sale Now Handicap
Conditions
Class 5 · 5f · Good · Turf
Field
19 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
-02159
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line -02159 over the last 5 start(s); 50 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 41 | 23.8 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 11 of 19 | 3% | 79 | 2.4 |
| Course performance Course record at Navan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 46 against a field average of 51 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 40 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form Karl Thornton — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 129 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 61 | 1.2 |
| Jockey recent form Jack Cleary(5) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 46 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 2 | 0.2 |