Model probability
3.0%
Fair odds
161/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
27.8
Official rating
48
Weight
130lb
Draw
16
Days since last run
239
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Navan Racing Festival Early Bird Tickets On Sale Now Handicap
Conditions
Class 5 · 5f · Good · Turf
Field
19 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
05-0
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 05-0 over the last 3 start(s); 239 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 21 | 12.2 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Navan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 48 against a field average of 51 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 44 | 1.8 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 16 of 19 | 3% | 56 | 1.7 |
| Trainer recent form Diego Dias — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 130 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 58 | 1.2 |
| Jockey recent form Diego Lima — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 48 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 5 | 0.6 |