← Back to the 15:10 Navan
Erosandpsyche
8yo · Daniel James Murphy · Reese Holohan(7) · Sat, 5 Sept 2026
Model probability
14.2%
Fair odds
61/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
56.3
Official rating
97
Weight
140lb
Draw
4
Days since last run
6
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Christmas Parties At Navan Racecourse On 6th & 13th December Handicap
Conditions
Class 5 · 5f · Good · Turf
Field
8 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
382582
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 382582 over the last 6 start(s); 6 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 52 | 30.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 97 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 80 | 9.6 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 97 against a field average of 83 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 81 | 3.2 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 4 of 8 | 3% | 87 | 2.6 |
| Course performance Course record at Navan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Daniel James Murphy — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Reese Holohan(7) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 140 lb (top weight) | 2% | 20 | 0.4 |