Model probability
5.2%
Fair odds
181/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
38.4
Official rating
76
Weight
119lb
Draw
8
Days since last run
14
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Christmas Parties At Navan Racecourse On 6th & 13th December Handicap
Conditions
Class 5 · 5f · Good · Turf
Field
8 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
-97992
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line -97992 over the last 5 start(s); 14 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 31 | 18.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 76 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 48 | 5.7 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Navan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 119 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form John Andrew Kinsella — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 76 against a field average of 83 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 35 | 1.4 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 8 of 8 | 3% | 42 | 1.2 |
| Jockey recent form Chris Hayes — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |