Model probability
10.5%
Fair odds
17/2
Model edge
—
Raw score
50.9
Official rating
81
Weight
123lb
Draw
2
Days since last run
21
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Christmas Parties At Navan Racecourse On 6th & 13th December Handicap
Conditions
Class 5 · 5f · Good · Turf
Field
8 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
313074
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 313074 over the last 6 start(s); 21 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 48 | 27.9 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 81 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 55 | 6.6 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 2 of 8 | 3% | 91 | 2.7 |
| Course performance Course record at Navan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 81 against a field average of 83 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 46 | 1.8 |
| Trainer recent form David Marnane — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 123 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 69 | 1.4 |
| Jockey recent form Luke McAteer — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |