Model probability
1.9%
Fair odds
509/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
30.2
Official rating
74
Weight
134lb
Draw
11
Days since last run
18
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Lynn Lodge Stud Maiden
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 2f · Good · Turf
Field
23 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
96
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 96 over the last 2 start(s); 18 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 15 | 8.6 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 74 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 45 | 5.4 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 11 of 23 | 3% | 88 | 2.7 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 74 against a field average of 74 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Navan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Charles Weld — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 134 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 53 | 1.1 |
| Jockey recent form Rory Mulligan(5) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |